Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,623 交易量
$28,623 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,623 交易量
$28,623 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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