Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 26%
86°F或更高 12%
67°F或以下
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
4%
86°F或更高
12%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 26%
86°F或更高 12%
67°F或以下
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
4%
86°F或更高
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on July 31 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus shows minimal influence from cold fronts or tropical systems, keeping minimum temperatures near climatological norms around 78–81°F. The closely matched market probabilities across 76–81°F brackets reflect traders weighing slight model variations in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the exact low by a degree or two. Historical July data reinforces this range, with rare excursions below 76°F requiring stronger onshore flow or clearer skies than currently projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions