Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate a daily high near 21°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, driven by a transient warm air advection ahead of an approaching frontal system, pushing temperatures 4–6°C above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Trader consensus clustering around 21–23°C reflects this consensus guidance, with minor model spread in wind direction and cloud cover affecting peak readings, while the 0.5% chance for 26°C or higher underscores low confidence in extreme outliers given typical Southern Hemisphere winter steering patterns. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on observed maximum at the central station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
23°C 33%
22°C 30%
21°C 22%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
30%
23°C
25%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 33%
22°C 30%
21°C 22%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
22%
22°C
30%
23°C
25%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate a daily high near 21°C in Buenos Aires on July 31, driven by a transient warm air advection ahead of an approaching frontal system, pushing temperatures 4–6°C above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Trader consensus clustering around 21–23°C reflects this consensus guidance, with minor model spread in wind direction and cloud cover affecting peak readings, while the 0.5% chance for 26°C or higher underscores low confidence in extreme outliers given typical Southern Hemisphere winter steering patterns. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution based on observed maximum at the central station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions