Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月28日芝加哥的最高溫度？
7月28日芝加哥的最高溫度？
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
華氏73度或以下
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
2%
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
華氏73度或以下
$33 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$82 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$49 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$118 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$89 交易量
43%
82-83°F
$224 交易量
22%
84-85°F
$13 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$64 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$71 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$13 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$756結束日期
2026-07-28市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$756結束日期
2026-07-28市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions