Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日達拉斯的最高溫度?
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 24%
92-93°F 5.1%
$30,145 交易量
$30,145 交易量
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
24%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 24%
92-93°F 5.1%
$30,145 交易量
$30,145 交易量
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
24%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions