Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
24°C 29%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-07
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 29%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-07
18°C or below
$5 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15 交易量
1%
21°C
$5 交易量
5%
22°C
$2 交易量
7%
23°C
$4 交易量
16%
24°C
$13 交易量
29%
25°C
$5 交易量
29%
26°C
$16 交易量
14%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28°C or higher
$63 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$129結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$129結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions