Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on July 6?
Highest temperature in London on July 6?
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
26°C or below
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
44%
31°C
28%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
26°C or below
$50 交易量
3%
27°C
$10 交易量
3%
28°C
$41 交易量
5%
29°C
$291 交易量
14%
30°C
$283 交易量
44%
31°C
$180 交易量
28%
32°C
$109 交易量
14%
33°C
$20 交易量
5%
34°C
$10 交易量
1%
35°C
$0 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$578 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$1,571結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,571結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions