Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
44%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
23°C or below
$340 交易量
<1%
24°C
$197 交易量
<1%
25°C
$199 交易量
<1%
26°C
$484 交易量
1%
27°C
$358 交易量
4%
28°C
$601 交易量
13%
29°C
$1,068 交易量
37%
30°C
$743 交易量
44%
31°C
$907 交易量
5%
32°C
$423 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$481 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,800結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,800結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–32°C for July 3–4 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers, keeping trader consensus centered on 28–29°C outcomes. These conditions reflect typical early-July monsoon influences and moderate moisture convergence that limit solar heating, while subtle differences in model runs for cloud cover and timing of any rain distinguish the narrow spread among 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C probabilities. Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal July temperatures, driven by long-term warming trends, provides background support but yields to short-term synoptic variability near resolution. Updated HKO guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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