**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 4 high clusters tightly around 34–35°C because short-range models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band amid typical early-July conditions.** Southern Sindh remains under hot, humid southwest monsoon flow with limited rainfall relief, while the Arabian Sea's sea breeze moderates coastal peaks and sustains high overnight minima near 28°C. Recent guidance shows stable 850-hPa temperatures and modest cloud cover that prevents sharp afternoon cooling, keeping the distribution centered on 33–35°C. Any deviation hinges on the precise timing and extent of patchy showers or stronger onshore winds, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily maximum or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 36°C. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors the slightly elevated outcome reflected in the leading market probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on July 4?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 4?
35°C 45%
34°C 37%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
37%
35°C
45%
36°C
13%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
34°C 37%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
29°C or below
$50 交易量
<1%
30°C
$60 交易量
<1%
31°C
$86 交易量
1%
32°C
$52 交易量
2%
33°C
$91 交易量
7%
34°C
$119 交易量
37%
35°C
$433 交易量
45%
36°C
$156 交易量
13%
37°C
$77 交易量
3%
38°C
$105 交易量
2%
39°C or higher
$50 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 4 high clusters tightly around 34–35°C because short-range models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band amid typical early-July conditions.** Southern Sindh remains under hot, humid southwest monsoon flow with limited rainfall relief, while the Arabian Sea's sea breeze moderates coastal peaks and sustains high overnight minima near 28°C. Recent guidance shows stable 850-hPa temperatures and modest cloud cover that prevents sharp afternoon cooling, keeping the distribution centered on 33–35°C. Any deviation hinges on the precise timing and extent of patchy showers or stronger onshore winds, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily maximum or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 36°C. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors the slightly elevated outcome reflected in the leading market probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,279結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 4 high clusters tightly around 34–35°C because short-range models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band amid typical early-July conditions.** Southern Sindh remains under hot, humid southwest monsoon flow with limited rainfall relief, while the Arabian Sea's sea breeze moderates coastal peaks and sustains high overnight minima near 28°C. Recent guidance shows stable 850-hPa temperatures and modest cloud cover that prevents sharp afternoon cooling, keeping the distribution centered on 33–35°C. Any deviation hinges on the precise timing and extent of patchy showers or stronger onshore winds, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily maximum or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 36°C. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors the slightly elevated outcome reflected in the leading market probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,279結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 4 high clusters tightly around 34–35°C because short-range models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band amid typical early-July conditions.** Southern Sindh remains under hot, humid southwest monsoon flow with limited rainfall relief, while the Arabian Sea's sea breeze moderates coastal peaks and sustains high overnight minima near 28°C. Recent guidance shows stable 850-hPa temperatures and modest cloud cover that prevents sharp afternoon cooling, keeping the distribution centered on 33–35°C. Any deviation hinges on the precise timing and extent of patchy showers or stronger onshore winds, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily maximum or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 36°C. Historical July averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors the slightly elevated outcome reflected in the leading market probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions