Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
22°C 50%
23°C 31%
21°C 18%
24°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
18%
22°C
50%
23°C
31%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 31%
21°C 18%
24°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
18°C or below
$114 交易量
1%
19°C
$82 交易量
1%
20°C
$40 交易量
1%
21°C
$85 交易量
18%
22°C
$7,015 交易量
50%
23°C
$80 交易量
31%
24°C
$50 交易量
3%
25°C
$172 交易量
1%
26°C
$135 交易量
1%
27°C
$62 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$77 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,895結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,895結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions