Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a brief cooling influence from increased cloud cover and lighter northeasterly flow over central Anatolia, positioning Ankara’s July 6 daytime maximum near 26–28 °C and driving the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27 °C outcomes. This setup deviates from the region’s July climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C under typical high-pressure dominance. Forecast uncertainty remains notable two days ahead, with model runs showing modest spread in timing of any clearing or warming; official Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and subsequent ensemble revisions through July 5 will likely refine probabilities further. Traders are weighting these near-term synoptic signals heavily given the short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on July 6?
27°C 43%
28°C 20%
26°C 18%
25°C 5%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
20%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 20%
26°C 18%
25°C 5%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
20%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a brief cooling influence from increased cloud cover and lighter northeasterly flow over central Anatolia, positioning Ankara’s July 6 daytime maximum near 26–28 °C and driving the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27 °C outcomes. This setup deviates from the region’s July climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C under typical high-pressure dominance. Forecast uncertainty remains notable two days ahead, with model runs showing modest spread in timing of any clearing or warming; official Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and subsequent ensemble revisions through July 5 will likely refine probabilities further. Traders are weighting these near-term synoptic signals heavily given the short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions