**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6, 2026, centers on 17–18°C as the most likely outcomes, with combined market-implied odds near 56% and other bins receiving far less weight.** This reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and supporting ensemble output, which point to daytime maxima around 16–19°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa reference station. FMI hourly forecasts show afternoon readings near 16°C on July 6 under partly cloudy skies, while the Met Office projects a slightly higher 19°C peak; the difference arises mainly from how models handle Baltic Sea maritime moderation and boundary-layer mixing. Typical early-July climatology features highs near 20–21°C, but a cooler northerly or northwesterly flow is suppressing daytime heating by limiting insolation and advecting milder marine air. Ensemble spread from ECMWF and FMI runs remains modest, with most members clustering between 16°C and 19°C, which explains why the 17°C and 18°C bins dominate while probabilities drop sharply outside that range. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger winds enhance mixing and cap peaks), and any late adjustments to sea-surface temperatures or low-level moisture. With the market resolving on the official station observation in just two days, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus heavily, producing tight clustering around the leading outcomes rather than broader uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6?
17°C 36%
18°C 26%
19°C 10.5%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
36%
18°C
26%
19°C
11%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
18°C 26%
19°C 10.5%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-06
12°C or below
$5 交易量
<1%
13°C
$5 交易量
1%
14°C
$5 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C
$61 交易量
9%
17°C
$24 交易量
36%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
11%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$105 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6, 2026, centers on 17–18°C as the most likely outcomes, with combined market-implied odds near 56% and other bins receiving far less weight.** This reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and supporting ensemble output, which point to daytime maxima around 16–19°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa reference station.
FMI hourly forecasts show afternoon readings near 16°C on July 6 under partly cloudy skies, while the Met Office projects a slightly higher 19°C peak; the difference arises mainly from how models handle Baltic Sea maritime moderation and boundary-layer mixing. Typical early-July climatology features highs near 20–21°C, but a cooler northerly or northwesterly flow is suppressing daytime heating by limiting insolation and advecting milder marine air. Ensemble spread from ECMWF and FMI runs remains modest, with most members clustering between 16°C and 19°C, which explains why the 17°C and 18°C bins dominate while probabilities drop sharply outside that range.
Key differentiating factors include cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger winds enhance mixing and cap peaks), and any late adjustments to sea-surface temperatures or low-level moisture. With the market resolving on the official station observation in just two days, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus heavily, producing tight clustering around the leading outcomes rather than broader uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$215結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6, 2026, centers on 17–18°C as the most likely outcomes, with combined market-implied odds near 56% and other bins receiving far less weight.** This reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and supporting ensemble output, which point to daytime maxima around 16–19°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa reference station.
FMI hourly forecasts show afternoon readings near 16°C on July 6 under partly cloudy skies, while the Met Office projects a slightly higher 19°C peak; the difference arises mainly from how models handle Baltic Sea maritime moderation and boundary-layer mixing. Typical early-July climatology features highs near 20–21°C, but a cooler northerly or northwesterly flow is suppressing daytime heating by limiting insolation and advecting milder marine air. Ensemble spread from ECMWF and FMI runs remains modest, with most members clustering between 16°C and 19°C, which explains why the 17°C and 18°C bins dominate while probabilities drop sharply outside that range.
Key differentiating factors include cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger winds enhance mixing and cap peaks), and any late adjustments to sea-surface temperatures or low-level moisture. With the market resolving on the official station observation in just two days, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus heavily, producing tight clustering around the leading outcomes rather than broader uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$215結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Helsinki on July 6, 2026, centers on 17–18°C as the most likely outcomes, with combined market-implied odds near 56% and other bins receiving far less weight.** This reflects the latest short-range guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and supporting ensemble output, which point to daytime maxima around 16–19°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa reference station. FMI hourly forecasts show afternoon readings near 16°C on July 6 under partly cloudy skies, while the Met Office projects a slightly higher 19°C peak; the difference arises mainly from how models handle Baltic Sea maritime moderation and boundary-layer mixing. Typical early-July climatology features highs near 20–21°C, but a cooler northerly or northwesterly flow is suppressing daytime heating by limiting insolation and advecting milder marine air. Ensemble spread from ECMWF and FMI runs remains modest, with most members clustering between 16°C and 19°C, which explains why the 17°C and 18°C bins dominate while probabilities drop sharply outside that range. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover timing, wind speed (stronger winds enhance mixing and cap peaks), and any late adjustments to sea-surface temperatures or low-level moisture. With the market resolving on the official station observation in just two days, traders are weighting the most recent model consensus heavily, producing tight clustering around the leading outcomes rather than broader uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions