The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on July 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 4?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 7.8%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
26°C or below
$64 交易量
<1%
27°C
$236 交易量
<1%
28°C
$132 交易量
<1%
29°C
$58 交易量
1%
30°C
$240 交易量
1%
31°C
$210 交易量
3%
32°C
$847 交易量
13%
33°C
$328 交易量
38%
34°C
$197 交易量
27%
35°C
$156 交易量
8%
36°C or higher
$109 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,577結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,577結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThe southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions