Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a building high-pressure system advecting warmer continental air across southern England, with London expected to reach daily highs of 28–30°C on July 5 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 29°C and 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. The urban heat island effect may locally enhance readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings, while ensemble models show limited spread but retain sensitivity to any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on July 5?
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
30°C 13%
27°C 10.8%
$20,460 交易量
$20,460 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
34%
29°C
41%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
30°C 13%
27°C 10.8%
$20,460 交易量
$20,460 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
34%
29°C
41%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a building high-pressure system advecting warmer continental air across southern England, with London expected to reach daily highs of 28–30°C on July 5 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 29°C and 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations such as Heathrow or St James’s Park. The urban heat island effect may locally enhance readings by 1–2°C relative to rural surroundings, while ensemble models show limited spread but retain sensitivity to any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions