**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.** Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 4?
30°C 31%
31°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
26%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
31°C 26%
32°C 16%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-04
25°C or below
$76 交易量
<1%
26°C
$88 交易量
1%
27°C
$221 交易量
3%
28°C
$105 交易量
5%
29°C
$20 交易量
15%
30°C
$113 交易量
31%
31°C
$85 交易量
26%
32°C
$9 交易量
16%
33°C
$5 交易量
6%
34°C
$166 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$89 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.**
Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty.
This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$978結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.**
Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty.
This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$978結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Chongqing’s July 4 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around 30–32 °C, with the 30 °C outcome leading at 28 % implied probability.** Chongqing’s location in the Sichuan Basin traps heat and moisture, producing high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth while frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover can cap daytime peaks. Recent extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com shows July 4 highs near 32–34 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble spreads and subtle differences in steering flow or timing of any monsoon-related showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. This genuine forecast variability—typical for a 48–72-hour horizon—explains why probabilities remain closely bunched between 29 °C and 32 °C rather than concentrating on a single bin. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and the next model runs will likely shift sentiment most directly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions