Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 7?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
23°C 19.2%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
23°C 19.2%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions