Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日聖保羅的最高溫度?
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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