Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid- to upper-70s on August 15, supported by persistent onshore marine air and moderate zonal flow aloft that curbs daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 77°F at Sea-Tac, where Puget Sound’s marine influence and typical summer cloud patterns often cap extremes even during warmer-than-average seasons. Traders weigh short-term uncertainties in marine layer depth, wind shifts, and afternoon clearing that could shift the peak by a few degrees, keeping the 74–77°F outcomes closely matched while downweighting higher thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 38%
73°F or below 10.6%
78-79°F 4%
$25,537 交易量
$25,537 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
11%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 38%
73°F or below 10.6%
78-79°F 4%
$25,537 交易量
$25,537 交易量
2026-08-15
73°F or below
$6,227 交易量
11%
74-75°F
$3,859 交易量
38%
76-77°F
$4,320 交易量
40%
78-79°F
$4,090 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$2,884 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$1,144 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$1,300 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$720 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$317 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$315 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid- to upper-70s on August 15, supported by persistent onshore marine air and moderate zonal flow aloft that curbs daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 77°F at Sea-Tac, where Puget Sound’s marine influence and typical summer cloud patterns often cap extremes even during warmer-than-average seasons. Traders weigh short-term uncertainties in marine layer depth, wind shifts, and afternoon clearing that could shift the peak by a few degrees, keeping the 74–77°F outcomes closely matched while downweighting higher thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$25,537結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid- to upper-70s on August 15, supported by persistent onshore marine air and moderate zonal flow aloft that curbs daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 77°F at Sea-Tac, where Puget Sound’s marine influence and typical summer cloud patterns often cap extremes even during warmer-than-average seasons. Traders weigh short-term uncertainties in marine layer depth, wind shifts, and afternoon clearing that could shift the peak by a few degrees, keeping the 74–77°F outcomes closely matched while downweighting higher thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,537結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a Seattle high temperature in the mid- to upper-70s on August 15, supported by persistent onshore marine air and moderate zonal flow aloft that curbs daytime heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages near 77°F at Sea-Tac, where Puget Sound’s marine influence and typical summer cloud patterns often cap extremes even during warmer-than-average seasons. Traders weigh short-term uncertainties in marine layer depth, wind shifts, and afternoon clearing that could shift the peak by a few degrees, keeping the 74–77°F outcomes closely matched while downweighting higher thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions