Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日上海最高溫度？
7月31日上海最高溫度？
36°C 40%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
$15,105 交易量
最新
$15,105 交易量
2026-07-31
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
20%
36°C
40%
37°C
27%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
$15,105 交易量
最新
$15,105 交易量
2026-07-31
31°C or below
$103 交易量
<1%
32°C
$334 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,274 交易量
1%
34°C
$1,499 交易量
6%
35°C
$4,455 交易量
20%
36°C
$1,234 交易量
40%
37°C
$1,285 交易量
27%
38°C
$2,229 交易量
11%
39°C
$1,639 交易量
2%
40°C
$345 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$709 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$15,105結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,105結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions