Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日上海最高溫度？
6月21日上海最高溫度？
26°C 36%
27°C 26%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
最新
$22,500 交易量
最新
$22,500 交易量
2026-06-21
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
23%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 26%
25°C 23%
28°C 9%
最新
$22,500 交易量
最新
$22,500 交易量
2026-06-21
23°C或以下
$1,404 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,592 交易量
4%
25°C
$2,237 交易量
23%
26°C
$2,488 交易量
36%
27°C
$2,314 交易量
26%
28°C
$2,249 交易量
9%
29°C
$3,187 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,816 交易量
1%
31°C
$2,233 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,304 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,677 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$22,500結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,500結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions