Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
6月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 47%
17°C 38%
15°C 15%
18°C 4.5%
最新
$20,045 交易量
最新
$20,045 交易量
2026-06-21
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
15%
16°C
47%
17°C
38%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
17°C 38%
15°C 15%
18°C 4.5%
最新
$20,045 交易量
最新
$20,045 交易量
2026-06-21
11°C or below
$238 交易量
<1%
12°C
$449 交易量
<1%
13°C
$388 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,024 交易量
1%
15°C
$2,291 交易量
15%
16°C
$2,441 交易量
47%
17°C
$2,473 交易量
38%
18°C
$3,179 交易量
5%
19°C
$741 交易量
1%
20°C
$387 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$5,433 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$20,045結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,045結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions