Skip to main content
icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
政治·特朗普內閣

JD Vance out as VP by...?

icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
政治·特朗普內閣

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$191,658 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$191,658 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$59,471 交易量

<1%

July 31

$217 交易量

2%

December 31

$104,546 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$191,658
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the incumbent vice president following his 2025 inauguration, with his position viewed as stable amid ongoing administration priorities. Trader sentiment reflects limited near-term risk of removal or resignation, shaped by his active role advancing the president's agenda, including Senate procedural involvement and partisan outreach ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent reporting highlights internal Republican dynamics around 2028 succession, with Trump polling preferences between Vance and figures like Marco Rubio, alongside Vance's statements deferring personal decisions until after the midterms. Historical precedent shows vice presidents rarely exit midterm absent health issues, scandals, or explicit breaks with the president, though any shift in Trump-Vance alignment or electoral setbacks could alter positioning before the 2028 cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$191,658
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance out as VP by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 8%, followed by "July 31" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance out as VP by...?" has generated $191.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance out as VP by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "JD Vance out as VP by...?" is "December 31" at just 8%, with "July 31" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance out as VP by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.