Recent political pressure from the White House and FCC license reviews has tested ABC's commitment to Jimmy Kimmel, yet the network has shown no sign of ending his tenure before the May 31 deadline. Kimmel's contract extension through May 2027, secured in late 2025, provides structural stability that has already withstood similar public demands earlier this year, reinforcing trader expectations of continuity. The absence of any announced departure, performance issues, or internal signals from Disney executives further solidifies the 99 percent implied probability against an exit. While sudden health developments, a voluntary resignation, or an unprecedented regulatory escalation could still shift the outcome in the remaining weeks, these remain low-probability tail risks given the timeline and current institutional posture.