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icon for Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？

Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？

icon for Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？

Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$120,820 交易量

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$120,820 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.The market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Timothy Chalamet will not be confirmed as EsDeeKid by June 30, driven by the complete lack of credible evidence or official statements connecting the actor to the viral online persona. Chalamet’s established public profile, marked by high-profile film promotions and frequent media appearances, stands in direct contrast to the anonymous, meme-driven nature of EsDeeKid, leaving no plausible pathway for sudden verification. Historical patterns in similar celebrity-identity markets show that such claims rarely materialize without precursor leaks or direct admissions. The only realistic upset scenario would require an unprecedented, last-minute public confirmation or verified documentation emerging in the final weeks, an event traders view as highly improbable given the current information vacuum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify.

If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$120,820
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.The market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Timothy Chalamet will not be confirmed as EsDeeKid by June 30, driven by the complete lack of credible evidence or official statements connecting the actor to the viral online persona. Chalamet’s established public profile, marked by high-profile film promotions and frequent media appearances, stands in direct contrast to the anonymous, meme-driven nature of EsDeeKid, leaving no plausible pathway for sudden verification. Historical patterns in similar celebrity-identity markets show that such claims rarely materialize without precursor leaks or direct admissions. The only realistic upset scenario would require an unprecedented, last-minute public confirmation or verified documentation emerging in the final weeks, an event traders view as highly improbable given the current information vacuum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify.

If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$120,820
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "提摩西·查拉梅是否已於6月30日前被確認為EsDeeKid？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？" has generated $120.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？" is "提摩西·查拉梅是否已於6月30日前被確認為EsDeeKid？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前確認成為EsDeeKid ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.