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政治·克拉考

克拉科夫市長選舉贏家

icon for 克拉科夫市長選舉贏家
政治·克拉考

克拉科夫市長選舉贏家

Paweł Śliz 57%

盧卡什·吉巴拉 35%

莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡 32%

達莉亞·高塞克-波皮奧韋克 25%

Polymarket
最新

Paweł Śliz 57%

盧卡什·吉巴拉 35%

莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡 32%

達莉亞·高塞克-波皮奧韋克 25%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$113 交易量

57%

icon for 盧卡什·吉巴拉

盧卡什·吉巴拉

$64 交易量

34%

icon for 莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡

莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡

$38 交易量

32%

icon for 達莉亞·高塞克-波皮奧韋克

達莉亞·高塞克-波皮奧韋克

$38 交易量

25%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$38 交易量

19%

icon for 亞歷珊德拉·奧夫察

亞歷珊德拉·奧夫察

$136 交易量

9%

icon for 拉法烏·科馬雷維奇

拉法烏·科馬雷維奇

$160 交易量

10%

icon for 米哈乌·克利梅克

米哈乌·克利梅克

$132 交易量

8%

icon for 揚·霍夫曼

揚·霍夫曼

$95 交易量

8%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$209 交易量

7%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$138 交易量

7%

icon for 拉法乌·索尼克

拉法乌·索尼克

$179 交易量

7%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$309 交易量

6%

icon for 斯拉沃米爾·皮特爾茲克

斯拉沃米爾·皮特爾茲克

$133 交易量

6%

icon for 巴爾托什·博欽查克

巴爾托什·博欽查克

$134 交易量

5%

icon for 瑪麗安娜·舒賴伯

瑪麗安娜·舒賴伯

$176 交易量

4%

icon for 瑪爾塔·拉圖申斯卡

瑪爾塔·拉圖申斯卡

$136 交易量

4%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Recent developments in the snap Kraków mayoral election, triggered by the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, have created a fragmented field ahead of the September 27 first round. Łukasz Gibała, running independently for the fourth time via his local Kraków dla Mieszkańców group, holds a modest lead in early surveys, closely followed by Civic Coalition-backed senator Monika Piątkowska and several other declared candidates including local and national figures. The tight trader pricing reflects vote-splitting risks across independents, center-right, and left-leaning contenders, combined with limited polling data and the possibility of a runoff. Key separation factors include further candidate entries or withdrawals, major party endorsements, turnout patterns in Kraków districts, and any late campaign shifts on local issues like housing and transport.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
交易量
$2,164
結束日期
2026-09-27
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Recent developments in the snap Kraków mayoral election, triggered by the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, have created a fragmented field ahead of the September 27 first round. Łukasz Gibała, running independently for the fourth time via his local Kraków dla Mieszkańców group, holds a modest lead in early surveys, closely followed by Civic Coalition-backed senator Monika Piątkowska and several other declared candidates including local and national figures. The tight trader pricing reflects vote-splitting risks across independents, center-right, and left-leaning contenders, combined with limited polling data and the possibility of a runoff. Key separation factors include further candidate entries or withdrawals, major party endorsements, turnout patterns in Kraków districts, and any late campaign shifts on local issues like housing and transport.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
交易量
$2,164
結束日期
2026-09-27
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"克拉科夫市長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "盧卡什·吉巴拉" at 34%, followed by "莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"克拉科夫市長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "克拉科夫市長選舉贏家," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "克拉科夫市長選舉贏家" is "盧卡什·吉巴拉" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "莫妮卡‧皮翁特科夫斯卡" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "克拉科夫市長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.