Skip to main content
icon for LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·路易斯安那州初級會

LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·路易斯安那州初級會

LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者

Michael Echols 9.0%

Blake Miguez 8%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Rick Edmonds 2.0%

Polymarket

$41,747 交易量

Michael Echols 9.0%

Blake Miguez 8%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Rick Edmonds 2.0%

Polymarket

$41,747 交易量

Michael Echols

$10,319 交易量

8%

Blake Miguez

$21,380 交易量

19%

Misti Cordell

$921 交易量

4%

Rick Edmonds

$1,173 交易量

2%

奧斯汀·麥吉

$1,187 交易量

1%

邁克爾·梅布魯爾

$896 交易量

1%

薩繆爾·懷亞特

$5,872 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary, a fragmented field has produced the current trader consensus, with no single contender exceeding 25 percent support in recent polling. Blake Miguez leads due to President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA warrior" and a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, which has supported broader name recognition across the district. Michael Echols remains competitive through his local legislative record and Monroe base but trails amid residency questions raised by opponents. Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and lower-polling candidates have yet to consolidate regional or donor backing. Upcoming voter turnout in the May 16 contest and any late endorsements could shift probabilities by narrowing choices among conservative voters seeking the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$41,747
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary, a fragmented field has produced the current trader consensus, with no single contender exceeding 25 percent support in recent polling. Blake Miguez leads due to President Trump's endorsement as a "MAGA warrior" and a dominant fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, which has supported broader name recognition across the district. Michael Echols remains competitive through his local legislative record and Monroe base but trails amid residency questions raised by opponents. Misti Cordell, Rick Edmonds, and lower-polling candidates have yet to consolidate regional or donor backing. Upcoming voter turnout in the May 16 contest and any late endorsements could shift probabilities by narrowing choices among conservative voters seeking the nominee.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$41,747
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Blake Miguez" at 19%, followed by "Michael Echols" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $41.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Blake Miguez" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Echols" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LA-05共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.