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icon for 六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?

六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?

icon for 六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?

六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?

28°C 49%

27°C 36%

26°C 10%

29°C 6.5%

Polymarket
最新

$10,968 交易量

28°C 49%

27°C 36%

26°C 10%

29°C 6.5%

Polymarket
最新

$10,968 交易量

22°C或以下

$301 交易量

<1%

23°C

$352 交易量

<1%

24°C

$447 交易量

<1%

25°C

$835 交易量

1%

26°C

$651 交易量

10%

27°C

$2,043 交易量

36%

28°C

$4,878 交易量

49%

29°C

$492 交易量

7%

30°C

$431 交易量

<1%

31°C

$352 交易量

<1%

32°C或以上

$217 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,968
結束日期
2026-06-29
市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts indicate above-normal seasonal temperatures for June 2026, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity and frequent showers typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. This positions daily minimums near 27–28°C, the range capturing nearly 70% of current market-implied odds. Variable cloud cover and localized convective rainfall over the next 48 hours can enhance nocturnal cooling by 1–2°C or suppress it under clearer skies, creating the tight spread between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 26–27°C, while the current ENSO-neutral pattern and urban heat retention favor the warmer side of that baseline absent a stronger monsoon surge. Updated NWP runs and Hong Kong Observatory briefings on June 28 will refine land-breeze and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,968
結束日期
2026-06-29
市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 49%, followed by "27°C" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?" is "28°C" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "六月二十九日香港最低氣溫?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.