Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a mild overnight period for Munich on October 2, with cloud cover, showers, and light winds limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 12–14°C rather than the historical average low of around 8°C. This pattern stems from a passing frontal system that maintains higher dew points and reduces clear-sky heat loss, keeping the implied probability of sub-10°C readings near 50% while leaving room for slight model spread on exact overnight minima. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against typical October variability, with resolution hinging on official station data once the day concludes.