Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日巴黎最低溫度？
7月31日巴黎最低溫度？
18°C 52%
17°C或以下 30%
19°C 20%
20°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
17°C或以下
30%
18°C
52%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
18°C 52%
17°C或以下 30%
19°C 20%
20°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
17°C或以下
$514 交易量
30%
18°C
$753 交易量
52%
19°C
$366 交易量
20%
20°C
$96 交易量
2%
21°C
$165 交易量
2%
22°C
$189 交易量
1%
23°C
$98 交易量
<1%
24°C
$76 交易量
<1%
25°C
$418 交易量
<1%
26°C
$56 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$36 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,767結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,767結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions