Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 9?
23°C 41%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
21°C 9%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
41%
24°C
18%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
8%
23°C 41%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
21°C 9%
18°C or below
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
19%
23°C
41%
24°C
18%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions