High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on July 7?
31°C 38%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions