Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 7?
40°C or higher 45%
39°C 22%
38°C 16%
37°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
8%
38°C
16%
39°C
22%
40°C or higher
45%
40°C or higher 45%
39°C 22%
38°C 16%
37°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
8%
38°C
16%
39°C
22%
40°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions