Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on July 5, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 22–23°C outcomes. Key drivers include a relatively stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, modest warm-air advection from the southwest, and light winds that limit mixing and overnight cooling. Uncertainty arises from potential afternoon convective development or slight shifts in the steering flow, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, supporting the market’s low probabilities above 27°C while leaving room for small revisions from the next model cycles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on July 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 5?
24°C 39%
23°C 28%
25°C 21%
22°C or below 9%
最新
$13,207 交易量
最新
$13,207 交易量
2026-07-05
22°C or below
9%
23°C
28%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 28%
25°C 21%
22°C or below 9%
最新
$13,207 交易量
最新
$13,207 交易量
2026-07-05
22°C or below
$2,421 交易量
9%
23°C
$3,500 交易量
28%
24°C
$3,428 交易量
39%
25°C
$1,390 交易量
21%
26°C
$1,113 交易量
4%
27°C
$591 交易量
1%
28°C
$236 交易量
<1%
29°C
$290 交易量
<1%
30°C
$69 交易量
<1%
31°C
$72 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$98 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on July 5, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 22–23°C outcomes. Key drivers include a relatively stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, modest warm-air advection from the southwest, and light winds that limit mixing and overnight cooling. Uncertainty arises from potential afternoon convective development or slight shifts in the steering flow, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, supporting the market’s low probabilities above 27°C while leaving room for small revisions from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$13,207結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on July 5, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 22–23°C outcomes. Key drivers include a relatively stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, modest warm-air advection from the southwest, and light winds that limit mixing and overnight cooling. Uncertainty arises from potential afternoon convective development or slight shifts in the steering flow, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, supporting the market’s low probabilities above 27°C while leaving room for small revisions from the next model cycles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,207結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on July 5, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 22–23°C outcomes. Key drivers include a relatively stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, modest warm-air advection from the southwest, and light winds that limit mixing and overnight cooling. Uncertainty arises from potential afternoon convective development or slight shifts in the steering flow, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, supporting the market’s low probabilities above 27°C while leaving room for small revisions from the next model cycles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions