Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日上海最低溫度？
6月29日上海最低溫度？
23°C 51%
24°C 38%
22°C 6%
21°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
51%
24°C
38%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 38%
22°C 6%
21°C 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
18°C或以下
$157 交易量
<1%
19°C
$161 交易量
<1%
20°C
$187 交易量
1%
21°C
$59 交易量
4%
22°C
$36 交易量
6%
23°C
$1,133 交易量
51%
24°C
$152 交易量
38%
25°C
$221 交易量
2%
26°C
$232 交易量
1%
27°C
$162 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$157 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,657結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,657結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions