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icon for Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?

Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?

icon for Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?

Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?

12月 31

12月 31

5% 機率
Polymarket

$164,944 交易量

5% 機率
Polymarket

$164,944 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s strong position after his La Libertad Avanza party’s decisive October 2025 midterm gains has expanded legislative leverage for continuing fiscal reforms and labor changes, while economic stabilization—including a budget surplus and sharply lower inflation—has limited organized opposition momentum despite 2026 approval dips into the mid-30s. Argentina’s fragmented political landscape, with no consolidated challenger from Peronist or other blocs, further reduces near-term removal risks through impeachment, resignation, or other mechanisms before the December 2027 term end. Trader consensus at 95 percent “No” reflects these structural and electoral buffers. Late developments such as a severe corruption scandal requiring broad congressional support to advance, acute health events, or sudden coalition fractures remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$164,944
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s strong position after his La Libertad Avanza party’s decisive October 2025 midterm gains has expanded legislative leverage for continuing fiscal reforms and labor changes, while economic stabilization—including a budget surplus and sharply lower inflation—has limited organized opposition momentum despite 2026 approval dips into the mid-30s. Argentina’s fragmented political landscape, with no consolidated challenger from Peronist or other blocs, further reduces near-term removal risks through impeachment, resignation, or other mechanisms before the December 2027 term end. Trader consensus at 95 percent “No” reflects these structural and electoral buffers. Late developments such as a severe corruption scandal requiring broad congressional support to advance, acute health events, or sudden coalition fractures remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$164,944
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米萊伊會在2027年前下台阿根廷總統嗎?" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?" has generated $164.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?" is "米萊伊會在2027年前下台阿根廷總統嗎?" at just 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Milei在2027年之前擔任阿根廷總統?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.