Perfect games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with only 24 recorded across more than 150 years and roughly one every two to three seasons on average in the modern era. Entering mid-May 2026, none have occurred despite hundreds of games played, consistent with recent patterns where the longest gaps have stretched over a decade since the last one in 2023. Current offensive lineups featuring strong contact hitters, elevated pitch counts from rotation management, and park factors that favor hitters continue to limit the precise execution required for 27 consecutive outs without baserunners. Trader consensus reflected in the 82.5% implied probability for no perfect game this season aligns with these historical frequencies and early-season trends, though a late surge in dominant pitching performances could still shift the outcome before the postseason concludes.