Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《莫阿娜（ 2026 ）》第三周末票房
《莫阿娜（ 2026 ）》第三周末票房
<8百萬 43%
800萬至900萬 43%
900-1000萬 43%
一千萬到一千一百萬 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
<8百萬
43%
800萬至900萬
43%
900-1000萬
43%
一千萬到一千一百萬
43%
1100-1200萬
43%
1200萬-1300萬
43%
1300萬+
43%
<8百萬 43%
800萬至900萬 43%
900-1000萬 43%
一千萬到一千一百萬 43%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
<8百萬
$0 交易量
43%
800萬至900萬
$0 交易量
43%
900-1000萬
$0 交易量
43%
一千萬到一千一百萬
$0 交易量
43%
1100-1200萬
$0 交易量
43%
1200萬-1300萬
$0 交易量
43%
1300萬+
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Disney’s live-action Moana opened to a soft $43 million domestically in mid-July, well below pre-release tracking of $60–85 million, and followed with an estimated $18 million in its second frame amid a steep 58% drop. Traders see this rapid erosion—driven by mixed audience reception and a $250 million budget—as signaling further sharp declines for the third weekend, with comparable titles and summer competition likely accelerating the fade. Historical patterns for underperforming Disney remakes and current legs near 2.1 reinforce expectations of limited holdover, though strong family appeal or positive word-of-mouth could moderate the drop and shift the market-implied ranges. Upcoming chart updates and any mid-week adjustments will serve as key swing factors in the tightly contested buckets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions