Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence. Elections originally set for May 2026 were postponed by two years amid the ongoing security situation and 2026 Lebanon war, extending parliament’s mandate and preserving the current government structure. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach to the United States on Israeli withdrawal timelines, UN complaints over strikes, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture have emerged, supporting the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於11% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
11% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence. Elections originally set for May 2026 were postponed by two years amid the ongoing security situation and 2026 Lebanon war, extending parliament’s mandate and preserving the current government structure. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach to the United States on Israeli withdrawal timelines, UN complaints over strikes, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture have emerged, supporting the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence. Elections originally set for May 2026 were postponed by two years amid the ongoing security situation and 2026 Lebanon war, extending parliament’s mandate and preserving the current government structure. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach to the United States on Israeli withdrawal timelines, UN complaints over strikes, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture have emerged, supporting the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, leading a reform-oriented cabinet that secured parliamentary confidence. Elections originally set for May 2026 were postponed by two years amid the ongoing security situation and 2026 Lebanon war, extending parliament’s mandate and preserving the current government structure. As of mid-August 2026, Salam remains actively engaged in reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach to the United States on Israeli withdrawal timelines, UN complaints over strikes, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups. No verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture have emerged, supporting the strong trader consensus that he will complete the year in office.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions