Cleveland Cavaliers hold a dominant 97.8% implied probability in the James Harden next-team market because the 11-time All-Star declined his 2026-27 player option with the team after arriving via midseason trade from the Clippers and has an agreement in place to re-sign on a new multi-year deal. Recent reports highlight Harden’s strong relationship with Donovan Mitchell, his attendance at team-related events, and Cleveland’s strategic delay in finalizing the contract to preserve second-apron flexibility for additional roster moves such as a sign-and-trade for restricted free agents. No credible reports indicate serious pursuit by other clubs. A breakdown in cap maneuvering or an unexpected competing offer from a contender could still shift odds, though current developments show no such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Cleveland Cavaliers 97.6%
Golden State Warriors 2.1%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,204 交易量
$1,294,204 交易量
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.6%
Golden State Warriors 2.1%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
San Antonio Spurs <1%
$1,294,204 交易量
$1,294,204 交易量
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市場開放時間： Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleveland Cavaliers hold a dominant 97.8% implied probability in the James Harden next-team market because the 11-time All-Star declined his 2026-27 player option with the team after arriving via midseason trade from the Clippers and has an agreement in place to re-sign on a new multi-year deal. Recent reports highlight Harden’s strong relationship with Donovan Mitchell, his attendance at team-related events, and Cleveland’s strategic delay in finalizing the contract to preserve second-apron flexibility for additional roster moves such as a sign-and-trade for restricted free agents. No credible reports indicate serious pursuit by other clubs. A breakdown in cap maneuvering or an unexpected competing offer from a contender could still shift odds, though current developments show no such movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions