The Detroit Pistons hold an 86% implied probability in this restricted free agency market because they hold matching rights on Jalen Duren and have signaled they will exercise them to retain their All-NBA center rather than allow a sign-and-trade. Duren’s strong regular-season production and recent playoff inconsistencies have created a gap in extension talks, with Detroit offering a deal below the five-year maximum he seeks while no rival team possesses sufficient cap space for a competitive offer sheet. Negotiations have extended into August, and Duren has weighed accepting his $9.6 million qualifying offer to reach unrestricted free agency in 2027. A realistic shift could occur only if the Pistons unexpectedly decline to match or facilitate an unlikely trade package, though current reporting indicates strong organizational resolve to keep the 22-year-old.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Detroit Pistons 86.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 6.6%
Boston Celtics 6.4%
Brooklyn Nets 5.5%
$166,144 交易量
$166,144 交易量
Detroit Pistons
86%
Milwaukee Bucks
7%
Boston Celtics
6%
Brooklyn Nets
6%
Denver Nuggets
6%
LA Clippers
5%
New Orleans Pelicans
3%
Sacramento Kings
3%
Los Angeles Lakers
3%
Houston Rockets
2%
Indiana Pacers
2%
Miami Heat
1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
1%
Portland Trail Blazers
1%
Toronto Raptors
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
7%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Detroit Pistons 86.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 6.6%
Boston Celtics 6.4%
Brooklyn Nets 5.5%
$166,144 交易量
$166,144 交易量
Detroit Pistons
86%
Milwaukee Bucks
7%
Boston Celtics
6%
Brooklyn Nets
6%
Denver Nuggets
6%
LA Clippers
5%
New Orleans Pelicans
3%
Sacramento Kings
3%
Los Angeles Lakers
3%
Houston Rockets
2%
Indiana Pacers
2%
Miami Heat
1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
1%
Portland Trail Blazers
1%
Toronto Raptors
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
7%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
If Jalen Duren does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Jalen Duren joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Jalen Duren is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市場開放時間： Jun 22, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Jalen Duren does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Jalen Duren joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Jalen Duren is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Detroit Pistons hold an 86% implied probability in this restricted free agency market because they hold matching rights on Jalen Duren and have signaled they will exercise them to retain their All-NBA center rather than allow a sign-and-trade. Duren’s strong regular-season production and recent playoff inconsistencies have created a gap in extension talks, with Detroit offering a deal below the five-year maximum he seeks while no rival team possesses sufficient cap space for a competitive offer sheet. Negotiations have extended into August, and Duren has weighed accepting his $9.6 million qualifying offer to reach unrestricted free agency in 2027. A realistic shift could occur only if the Pistons unexpectedly decline to match or facilitate an unlikely trade package, though current reporting indicates strong organizational resolve to keep the 22-year-old.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions