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政治·全球選舉

紐西蘭選舉：投票率

icon for 紐西蘭選舉：投票率
政治·全球選舉

紐西蘭選舉：投票率

78-80% 37%

76-78% 31%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 4.2%

Polymarket

$19,972 交易量

78-80% 37%

76-78% 31%

80-82% 23.8%

<76% 4.2%

Polymarket

$19,972 交易量

<76%

$1,049 交易量

4%

76-78%

$4,194 交易量

31%

78-80%

$7,253 交易量

37%

80-82%

$5,375 交易量

24%

82-84%

$1,293 交易量

1%

84%+

$807 交易量

3%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November features a tight contest between National-led and Labour-led blocs according to recent polling averages, with low government approval ratings and potential for high mobilization on both sides. Traders price the most likely turnout band at 78-80% because enrolment stands near 89% overall but drops sharply to 53% among 18-25-year-olds, while Māori roll participation—now at record levels—has historically produced lower turnout rates around 68-70%. Rule changes advancing the enrolment deadline to 25 October and shifting advance voting earlier introduce added uncertainty around special votes and youth participation. These structural factors, alongside ongoing enrolment drives and the prospect of close electorate and party-vote margins, anchor consensus probabilities near recent election averages without clear catalysts for substantial deviation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
交易量
$19,972
結束日期
2026-11-07
市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November features a tight contest between National-led and Labour-led blocs according to recent polling averages, with low government approval ratings and potential for high mobilization on both sides. Traders price the most likely turnout band at 78-80% because enrolment stands near 89% overall but drops sharply to 53% among 18-25-year-olds, while Māori roll participation—now at record levels—has historically produced lower turnout rates around 68-70%. Rule changes advancing the enrolment deadline to 25 October and shifting advance voting earlier introduce added uncertainty around special votes and youth participation. These structural factors, alongside ongoing enrolment drives and the prospect of close electorate and party-vote margins, anchor consensus probabilities near recent election averages without clear catalysts for substantial deviation.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
交易量
$19,972
結束日期
2026-11-07
市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐西蘭選舉：投票率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "78-80%" at 37%, followed by "76-78%" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐西蘭選舉：投票率" has generated $20K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐西蘭選舉：投票率," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐西蘭選舉：投票率" is "78-80%" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "76-78%" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐西蘭選舉：投票率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.