Recent electoral reforms closing enrolment 13 days before the November 7, 2026 vote, combined with a lower overall enrolment rate of 93.7 percent versus 94.7 percent in 2023, have driven down participation. Youth enrolment remains particularly weak, while a higher share of advance votes has not offset the shortfall. Preliminary results show 74.6 percent turnout among enrolled voters—the second-lowest figure on record—placing the outcome comfortably below 76 percent. Trader consensus at 81.5 percent on that band reflects these confirmed procedural and demographic pressures, with limited scope for special votes to reverse the trend before official results on November 27.