Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,613 交易量
$16,613 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
92%
共和黨
8%
$16,613 交易量
$16,613 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,868 交易量
92%
共和黨
$8,746 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$16,613結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,613結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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