Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise's prior wins in the category and early footage highlighting its ambitious scale under Denis Villeneuve. Other high-profile 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero sit lower at 13% and below, reflecting strong VFX expectations but less franchise momentum. Many listed titles hover around 50% amid limited release information. With most contenders still in production or pre-release, traders are pricing in historical patterns where sequels with proven technical teams often dominate, while watching for guild signals and final visual showcases closer to the December 2026 release window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
沙丘：第三部 61%
救援太空人 13%
哥吉拉-1.0 7%
奧德賽號 7%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
61%
救援太空人
13%
哥吉拉-1.0
7%
奧德賽號
7%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
4%
復仇者聯盟：末日
3%
沙丘：第三部 61%
救援太空人 13%
哥吉拉-1.0 7%
奧德賽號 7%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
$1,713 交易量
61%
救援太空人
$233 交易量
13%
哥吉拉-1.0
$179 交易量
7%
奧德賽號
$219 交易量
7%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
$161 交易量
4%
復仇者聯盟：末日
$284 交易量
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise's prior wins in the category and early footage highlighting its ambitious scale under Denis Villeneuve. Other high-profile 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero sit lower at 13% and below, reflecting strong VFX expectations but less franchise momentum. Many listed titles hover around 50% amid limited release information. With most contenders still in production or pre-release, traders are pricing in historical patterns where sequels with proven technical teams often dominate, while watching for guild signals and final visual showcases closer to the December 2026 release window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$2,789結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise's prior wins in the category and early footage highlighting its ambitious scale under Denis Villeneuve. Other high-profile 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero sit lower at 13% and below, reflecting strong VFX expectations but less franchise momentum. Many listed titles hover around 50% amid limited release information. With most contenders still in production or pre-release, traders are pricing in historical patterns where sequels with proven technical teams often dominate, while watching for guild signals and final visual showcases closer to the December 2026 release window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,789結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 60.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise's prior wins in the category and early footage highlighting its ambitious scale under Denis Villeneuve. Other high-profile 2026 releases such as Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Godzilla Minus Zero sit lower at 13% and below, reflecting strong VFX expectations but less franchise momentum. Many listed titles hover around 50% amid limited release information. With most contenders still in production or pre-release, traders are pricing in historical patterns where sequels with proven technical teams often dominate, while watching for guild signals and final visual showcases closer to the December 2026 release window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions