**Primetime’s second-weekend performance landed squarely in the 7-9 million range after an $18.8–19.2 million opening, producing the -58% drop typical for an A24 drama without blockbuster legs.** The Robert Pattinson-led true-crime thriller about Chris Hansen and “To Catch a Predator” benefited from strong word-of-mouth, 86% critical approval, and heavy Gen Z turnout that sustained midweek business. With a modest $14.5–15 million budget and limited international upside, the film’s domestic trajectory has remained predictable amid competition from holdovers and re-releases. Traders have priced the 7-9 million outcome near certainty because the reported three-day total aligns precisely with historical patterns for comparable titles. An upset into higher brackets would require an unexpectedly strong hold or revised final figures, while a steeper drop below 7 million remains possible only if audience fatigue accelerates faster than modeled.