Swiss voters will decide two separate measures on June 14, 2026. Recent gfs.bern polling conducted in late April and early May shows the Civilian Service Act amendments holding a clear majority around 52 percent support, driven by broad backing for streamlined alternative-service rules for conscientious objectors. In contrast, the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative backed by the Swiss People’s Party remains tightly contested near 47 percent, reflecting ongoing debate over immigration controls, sustainability thresholds at 9.5 million residents, and potential renegotiation of EU free-movement agreements. The implied probabilities in the market align with these survey trends and historical patterns in which Swiss referendums on administrative reforms often clear the simple-majority threshold more readily than contentious constitutional caps on population growth. No further national votes or major campaign events are scheduled before the June ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$103,391 交易量
替代役法
76%
反對瑞士人口超過一千萬
36%
$103,391 交易量
替代役法
76%
反對瑞士人口超過一千萬
36%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide two separate measures on June 14, 2026. Recent gfs.bern polling conducted in late April and early May shows the Civilian Service Act amendments holding a clear majority around 52 percent support, driven by broad backing for streamlined alternative-service rules for conscientious objectors. In contrast, the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative backed by the Swiss People’s Party remains tightly contested near 47 percent, reflecting ongoing debate over immigration controls, sustainability thresholds at 9.5 million residents, and potential renegotiation of EU free-movement agreements. The implied probabilities in the market align with these survey trends and historical patterns in which Swiss referendums on administrative reforms often clear the simple-majority threshold more readily than contentious constitutional caps on population growth. No further national votes or major campaign events are scheduled before the June ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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