The U.S. recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s interim leader after Maduro’s January 2026 removal, combined with ongoing diplomatic normalization and joint focus on stabilization, oil-sector deals, and phased negotiations involving other opposition figures, underpins the near-certain trader view that Washington will not designate María Corina Machado as the country’s leader by year-end. The Trump administration has repeatedly discouraged Machado’s immediate return, prioritized gradual transition over rapid opposition handover, and channeled talks through established channels rather than her leadership. Remaining uncertainty stems from possible late policy reversals, breakthrough election timelines, or shifts in negotiating leverage before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於美國在12月31日前承認馬查多為委內瑞拉領導人？
美國在12月31日前承認馬查多為委內瑞拉領導人？
是
3% 機率
$179,676 交易量
$179,676 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 機率
$179,676 交易量
$179,676 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s interim leader after Maduro’s January 2026 removal, combined with ongoing diplomatic normalization and joint focus on stabilization, oil-sector deals, and phased negotiations involving other opposition figures, underpins the near-certain trader view that Washington will not designate María Corina Machado as the country’s leader by year-end. The Trump administration has repeatedly discouraged Machado’s immediate return, prioritized gradual transition over rapid opposition handover, and channeled talks through established channels rather than her leadership. Remaining uncertainty stems from possible late policy reversals, breakthrough election timelines, or shifts in negotiating leverage before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
交易量
$179,676結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s interim leader after Maduro’s January 2026 removal, combined with ongoing diplomatic normalization and joint focus on stabilization, oil-sector deals, and phased negotiations involving other opposition figures, underpins the near-certain trader view that Washington will not designate María Corina Machado as the country’s leader by year-end. The Trump administration has repeatedly discouraged Machado’s immediate return, prioritized gradual transition over rapid opposition handover, and channeled talks through established channels rather than her leadership. Remaining uncertainty stems from possible late policy reversals, breakthrough election timelines, or shifts in negotiating leverage before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$179,676結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETThe U.S. recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela’s interim leader after Maduro’s January 2026 removal, combined with ongoing diplomatic normalization and joint focus on stabilization, oil-sector deals, and phased negotiations involving other opposition figures, underpins the near-certain trader view that Washington will not designate María Corina Machado as the country’s leader by year-end. The Trump administration has repeatedly discouraged Machado’s immediate return, prioritized gradual transition over rapid opposition handover, and channeled talks through established channels rather than her leadership. Remaining uncertainty stems from possible late policy reversals, breakthrough election timelines, or shifts in negotiating leverage before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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