Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly US-Iran frictions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in May 2026, tightening global supply and supporting levels near $105 per barrel as of May 15. Recent weekly gains exceeding 4% reflect persistent inventory draws and limited tanker traffic, outweighing softer demand signals from China and steady US output growth. The EIA projects average prices around $106 per barrel for May and June amid these constraints, with the futures curve in backwardation signaling near-term tightness. Traders are monitoring Thursday’s weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting for potential quota adjustments, while any de-escalation could ease the risk premium built into current valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,271,405 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ 95美元
61%
↓ $90
38%
↓ $85
20%
↓ $80
10%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ 40美元
<1%
↓ 20美元
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,271,405 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ 95美元
61%
↓ $90
38%
↓ $85
20%
↓ $80
10%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ 40美元
<1%
↓ 20美元
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市場開放時間: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly US-Iran frictions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in May 2026, tightening global supply and supporting levels near $105 per barrel as of May 15. Recent weekly gains exceeding 4% reflect persistent inventory draws and limited tanker traffic, outweighing softer demand signals from China and steady US output growth. The EIA projects average prices around $106 per barrel for May and June amid these constraints, with the futures curve in backwardation signaling near-term tightness. Traders are monitoring Thursday’s weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ meeting for potential quota adjustments, while any de-escalation could ease the risk premium built into current valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions