哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

Name: 哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？
Start: 2025-11-12T22:33:38.857Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

12月 31

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰 73%

蜘蛛人：全新一天 18%

玩具總動員5 3.1%

奧德賽 2.1%

$1,571,780 交易量

2026-12-31

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰

$118,995 交易量

73%

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$43,480 交易量

18%

玩具總動員5

$181,713 交易量

奧德賽

$146,997 交易量

沙丘：救世主

$85,190 交易量

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$34,991 交易量

飢餓遊戲：收割的黎明

$59,114 交易量

<1%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$18,306 交易量

<1%

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰 73%

蜘蛛人：全新一天 18%

玩具總動員5 3.1%

奧德賽 2.1%

$1,571,780 交易量

2026-12-31

復仇者聯盟：末日之戰

$118,995 交易量

73%

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$43,480 交易量

18%

玩具總動員5

$181,713 交易量

奧德賽

$146,997 交易量

沙丘：救世主

$85,190 交易量

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$34,991 交易量

飢餓遊戲：收割的黎明

$59,114 交易量

<1%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$18,306 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" at 73%, followed by "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" is "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.6 million traded on “哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 73¢ for "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" in the "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 73% chance that "復仇者聯盟：末日之戰" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 73¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 27¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？" market has an active community of 444 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

哪部電影在2026年有最大的開幕週末？

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