Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a sub-$20 million second-weekend domestic gross for Mortal Kombat II at 98.2% implied probability, driven by its front-loaded $38.5 million opening that missed higher-end tracking of $40-45 million, marked by a steep 37% Sunday drop from Saturday and modest weekday earnings of about $8.5 million through Thursday. The violent video game adaptation faces stiff competition from holdover frontrunner Devil Wears Prada 2, which posted a robust $43 million sophomore frame, alongside historical patterns for the genre—recall the 2021 original's 70% plunge. Despite solid 82% Rotten Tomatoes critical consensus, limited word-of-mouth momentum and $80 million budget pressures reinforce the steep drop-off expectation. An upset to $20 million-plus would require exceptional audience scores, viral social buzz, or unexpectedly soft rival holds, with Friday estimates due imminently as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《Mortal Kombat II》第二周末票房
《Mortal Kombat II》第二周末票房
少於2000萬 99.2%
2,000萬至2,300萬 <1%
>2600萬 <1%
2300萬-2600萬 <1%
$13,327 交易量
$13,327 交易量
少於2000萬
99%
2,000萬至2,300萬
1%
2300萬-2600萬
<1%
>2600萬
<1%
少於2000萬 99.2%
2,000萬至2,300萬 <1%
>2600萬 <1%
2300萬-2600萬 <1%
$13,327 交易量
$13,327 交易量
少於2000萬
99%
2,000萬至2,300萬
1%
2300萬-2600萬
<1%
>2600萬
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a sub-$20 million second-weekend domestic gross for Mortal Kombat II at 98.2% implied probability, driven by its front-loaded $38.5 million opening that missed higher-end tracking of $40-45 million, marked by a steep 37% Sunday drop from Saturday and modest weekday earnings of about $8.5 million through Thursday. The violent video game adaptation faces stiff competition from holdover frontrunner Devil Wears Prada 2, which posted a robust $43 million sophomore frame, alongside historical patterns for the genre—recall the 2021 original's 70% plunge. Despite solid 82% Rotten Tomatoes critical consensus, limited word-of-mouth momentum and $80 million budget pressures reinforce the steep drop-off expectation. An upset to $20 million-plus would require exceptional audience scores, viral social buzz, or unexpectedly soft rival holds, with Friday estimates due imminently as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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