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icon for 日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?

日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?

icon for 日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?

日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?

50% 機率
Polymarket
最新

50% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House's recent passage of the Sunshine Protection Act on July 14, 2026, with strong bipartisan support, has lifted expectations for ending seasonal clock changes, yet the measure's path through the Senate remains uncertain with limited legislative calendar time left this year. President Trump's public endorsement and prior unanimous Senate approval of a similar bill in 2022 provide momentum, but procedural holds, airline industry concerns over scheduling disruptions, and debates over permanent daylight versus standard time create friction. Traders see a narrow edge for "No" because full enactment and 2026 implementation would require rapid Senate action and presidential signature amid competing priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate floor scheduling, any state opt-out provisions, and health or economic impact assessments that could shift consensus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House's recent passage of the Sunshine Protection Act on July 14, 2026, with strong bipartisan support, has lifted expectations for ending seasonal clock changes, yet the measure's path through the Senate remains uncertain with limited legislative calendar time left this year. President Trump's public endorsement and prior unanimous Senate approval of a similar bill in 2022 provide momentum, but procedural holds, airline industry concerns over scheduling disruptions, and debates over permanent daylight versus standard time create friction. Traders see a narrow edge for "No" because full enactment and 2026 implementation would require rapid Senate action and presidential signature amid competing priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate floor scheduling, any state opt-out provisions, and health or economic impact assessments that could shift consensus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$125
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國在2026年會永久實施夏令時間嗎?" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?" is "美國在2026年會永久實施夏令時間嗎?" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "日光節約時間會在2026年成為美國的永久性時間嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.